Category Archives: Geopolitics

The Two Yemeni Air Forces

April 2, 2015, scenario. The Yemeni government faces mundane no-confidence challenges that nonetheless undermine its authority, and a coup is feared. US drone strikes, with the inevitable civilian casualties, are angering the population, and the Americans are moving ever-stronger forces into the area, assuming a total collapse is imminent. Enter the unnamed and fictional defense […]

How to Name a German Unit

A Short History of the Bundeswehr Shortly after the end of the second world war the demand for a new (West) German army became clear, even though it was decided at the Potsdam Conference that Germany should be demilitarized. The German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer considered joining the NATO as one of the most important goals for […]

Air Power in Civil Wars

There have been many good reasons why air-to-air combat remains the near-exclusive domain of nation-states. Even the earliest and/or simplest aircraft require trained pilots and ground crews that are not exactly in the greatest supply, and to use them requires a complex supply chain. Because of this difficulty, the one proven route to the deployment […]

Energy Pricing and Conflict: Inverse Co-Relation for OPEC

Dozens have been killed in a gun and bomb attack during prayers at one of the biggest mosques in the northern Nigerian city of Kano, officials say. This attack is unsurprising given the falling prices of oil. What I expect to see is an increase in acts of terorrism in export-revenue dependant oil-producing nations. The […]

Russians in the Coral Sea

Uninvited guests: Varyag & Shapshonikov, both Russian ships are cruising towards Brisbane in concert with the G20 forum. Two Australian frigates, the HMAS Parramatta and Stuart, are enroute to “flank and monitor” Russian activity. Russians: The Varyag is Russia’s Pacific flagship: a Slava-class guided missile cruiser. Very mean looking with her 16x Anti Ship Missile tubes loaded […]

Russia, the world is watching.

Russia put SA-11’s in rebel hands and triple digit Europeans died in an attack as a result. Step up EU.  Netherlands: 173 Malaysia: 44 (including 15 crew and two infants) Australia: 27 Indonesia: 12 (including one infant) United Kingdom: 9 Germany: 4 Belgium: 4 Philippines: 3 Canada: 1 New Zealand: 1 Unconfirmed nationalities: 20

Upcoming Ukraine 2014 Stream

On Saturday, March 8th I’ll be presenting a simulation of the situation in Ukraine using Command version 1.03. With me, will be Dimitris Dranidis and Mike Mykytyn of Warfare Sims. Version 1.03 Changelog Preliminary Ukrainian Crisis order of battle: Flashpoint: Ukraine 2014 Link to stream: Baloogan Campaign Stream starts at 11:00 AM PST. Follow me on […]